基金经理看波动率(The volatility)

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admin   2017-5-22 08:33   7286   1
  "Volatility caused by money managers who speculate irrationality with huge sums will offer the true investor more chance to make intelligent investment moves.  He can be hurt by suchvolatility only if he is forced, by either financial or psychological pressures, to sell at untoward times" Warren Buffett
  "This great emphasis on volatility in corporate finance we regard as nonsense" Charlie Munger
  “Opportunities to purchase what we deem to be attractively undervalued companies occur more frequently when stock prices are volatile.” Chuck Royce
  “We steer clear of the foolhardy academic definition of risk and volatility, recognizing, instead, that volatility is a welcome creator of opportunity” Seth Klarman
  Risk is not defined byvolatility, but rather ill-conceived investment”Michael Burry
  "Volatility is not synonymous of risk but – for those who truly understand it – of wealth" Francois Rochon
  "Investors should treat volatility as a friend.  High volatility permits an investor to purchase stocks that are particularly depressed and to sell stocks when they are selling at particularly high prices.  The greater the volatility, the greater the opportunity to purchase stocks at very low prices and then sell stocks at very high prices"  Ed Wachenheim
  “We think short-term volatility should often be viewed as an opportunity to the long-term investor who seeks enduring businesses at reasonable prices” Christopher Begg
  “We are willing to endure a high degree of stock price and portfolio volatility because we believe it allows us to achieve a greater degree of investment performance over the long term” Bill Ackman
  “The true investor welcomes volatility” Warren Buffett
  "Volatility actually is the opposite of risk.  It’s is opportunity.  But you need to think through and fight some basic human weaknesses.”   Jeff Ubben
  "We don't believe volatility is a good proxy for risk.  In fact, volatility (which we view as an asset to be utilised) is a key component that increases our chances of providing superior returns over time - thus we welcome volatility" Allan Mecham
  "I have never thought of volatility as a measure of risk.  The investment business tends to think there is some correlation betweenvolatility and risk and I don't think that is true.  We are not concerned with price fluctuations and to the extent that the price drops, we can take advantage of that and can buy more of the same thing" Mohnish Pabrai
  “You can get lulled to sleep when markets haven’t been volatile, which likely means it’s time to take some chips off the table” Kevin O’Brien
  "Not only doesn't a stock's past price volatility serve as a good indicator of future profitability, it doesn't tell you something much more important - how much you can lose.  Let's repeat that: It doesn't tell you how much you can lose.  Isn't risk of loss what people most care about when they think of risk?" Joel Greenblatt
  “There are many kinds of risks .. But volatility may be the least>
  “If you make more money when you are right than you are hurt when you are wrong, then you will benefit, in the long run, from volatility [and the reverse]” Nicholas Taleb
  “You can’t overlook the volatility, but you don’t let it push you around in the market” Boone Pickens
  "A tolerance for short-term swings improves our long-term prospects.  In baseball lingo, our performance yardstick is slugging percentage, not batting average." Warren Buffett
  “Volatility is the friend of the unleveraged long-term investor. We much prefer the bumpy road to higher rates of return than a smoother rise to more modest profits” Bill Ackman
  "Most investors incorrectly consider volatility to be a risk.   These investors thus demand a higher return from common stocks than the deserved return.  This error is our opportunity - this is another reason we treat volatility as a friend" Ed Wachenheim
  “Look at market fluctuations as your friend rather than your enemy; profit from folly rather than participate in it.” Warren Buffett
  “One of the great lessons on the crisis was learning the difference between volatility, which most people perceive as risk, and a permanent impairment of capital, which is what we believe is risk” Matt McLennon
  “While many investors think of volatility as synonymous (or nearly so) with risk, we take a different view. Rather than avoid volatility, we see the challenge of managing risk as trying to take advantage of the market’s movements—an essential skill for any successful active manager.” Chuck Royce“
  Risk is a far more complex consideration than merely the simple but widespread notion of volatility” Paul Singer
  “Pick any Company you want – the price is very volatile over short periods of time. It does not make sense to me that their values are nearly as volatile as the prices and therein lies what should be a great opportunity” Joel Greenblatt
  "Volatility can be a friend of the value investor – it provides more situations where stocks significantly diverge from their intrinsic value and can allow us to turn our capital faster." Ricky Sandler
  "Volatility is terrific. What we don't want is the permanent loss" Wally Weitz
  "If we insist on a significant margin of safety at the time of purchase, above-averagevolatility may well provide above-average returns.  Rather simple, when you ponder it a while" Frank Martin
  "I think volatility is so widely used as a risk-metric simply because it is easy to measure, not because it is a good gauge of risk of permanent loss of capital.  Downside volatility is merely one aspect of risk, not necessarily the most important, while upside volatility isn't much of a risk at all - unless you are short" Joel Greenblatt
  "Another important point: the significant volatility of the market is often perceived negatively by many investors. It’s actually the contrary. When we see stock prices as “what other people believe the company is worth” rather than the real value (at least in the short term), these fluctuations become our allies in our noble quest for creating wealth. Instead of fearing them, we can profit from them by acquiring superb businesses at attractive prices." Francois Rochon
  “I certainly view volatility as my friend. Volatility is on sale because 99% of the institutions out there are doing their best to avoid it.” Michael Burry
  "Financial academics define risk as volatility.  That may be fine for theory, but for those of us who live in the real world, we define risk as permanent loss of capital.  The likelihood of risk using our definition is always highest at the point where the general perception of risk is lowest"  Christopher Bloomstran
  "When people do try to measure investment risk, they typically assess the historic volatility of an investment compared to that of the overall market (known as beta), which derives from capital asset pricing theory. We consider the concept of beta to be irrelevant, both because volatility is not the same thing as risk and because one cannot>
  "If you want to start talking volatility equals risk, sharpe ratios, beta and gamma, the Greek alphabet, we're not a good match for you" John Phelan
  "Volatility is not part of our analysis of risk; rather we view it as an opportunity generator.  What we say for our purposes is that risk involves the exposure of permanent loss of capital" Chuck Akre
  "In the first place it has been known for decades that there is no correlation between risk, as the academics define it, and return.  Higher volatility does not give better results, nor lower volatility worse.   Volatility is not risk.  Avoid investment advice based onvolatility"  David Dreman
  "How can professors spread this [nonsense that a stock's volatility is a measure or risk]? Ive been waiting for this craziness to end for decades. It's been dented, but it's still out there" Charlie Munger
  "Because we focus on value instead of price, we do not consider short-term stock market volatility a risk. Instead, we define risk as long-term value destruction. For today’s investors, the potential loss of purchasing power on the dollars they save is one of the largest value-destroying risks they>
  "In my view, the best tools for dealing with volatility are preparation, intellectual humility, and the discipline to stick with>
  "I may not care about volatility but the reality of having temporary capital is the volatility matters" Mohnish Pabrai
  "Our belief is volatility is a risk only in the short run.  If you have an obligation in a year, such as buying a house,  you probably don't want to speculate with that cash.  If it's 3 or 5 years you have the ability to put that money to work.  Volatility is not in our lexicon basically in terms of risk"  Chuck Akre
  "We love volatility.  We try to appraise a company's business value and its likely growth path.  The stock price should be loosely tethered to the business value over time, but volatility around that value gives us the chance to buy at a discount and sell at a premium" Wally Weitz
  "Theory accepts volatility as the indicator of risk, because data on volatility is quantifiable and machinable.  But people in the real world don't worry about volatility or demand a premium return to bear it; what they care about is the likelihood of losing money.  Because that likelihood can't be quantified, risk is best handled by experienced experts applying subjective, qualitative judgement that is superior" Howard Marks

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围猎人  4级常客  职业散户,开始做期权 | 2017-5-22 08:38:04 发帖IP地址来自 澳大利亚
居然是英文的。。。
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